Original research · collected July 26, 2026

Which local markets has AI already decided?

We asked ChatGPT, Google Gemini, and Perplexity to recommend a local business 540 times — 6 trades, 5 cities, 6 questions each, every answer saved. In some markets the same company comes back again and again. In others no two assistants agree on anyone. The difference turns out to depend far more on the trade than on the city.

The headline finding

Dental practices are unsettled in every city we measured.

Openness scores how much room is left in a market: how much of the answer set the leading business holds, how much of the shortlist all three assistants agree on, and how much of the market got named once and never again. Higher means less settled. The full formula is published, and the ranking below is per trade, averaged across all 5 cities.

  • Dental practices 84.6 average · 80–90 across 5 cities · full study
  • Law firms 68.4 average · 63–74 across 5 cities · full study
  • HVAC companies 66.4 average · 61–72 across 5 cities · full study
  • Med spas 63.2 average · 54–75 across 5 cities · full study
  • Roofing companies 62.0 average · 59–67 across 5 cities · full study
  • Plumbing companies 60.2 average · 52–69 across 5 cities · full study

The gap between dental practices at 84.6 and plumbing companies at 60.2 is wider than the gap between the best and worst city inside any single trade. That is the useful part: if you are a dental practice the assistants have not settled on anyone yet, and if you are one of the plumbing companies you are usually arguing with an incumbent the models already trust.

All 30 markets, ranked

Most open first.

Each row links to the full result for that market: every business named, how many answers named them, which questions they won, and the sources the assistants cited to justify it.

  • Dental practices in Tampa, FL Openness 90 · wide open · 57 named · leader South Tampa Dentistry at 2 of 18
    11.8% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 6 of 6 questions · 11.1% of answers named nobody
  • Dental practices in Austin, TX Openness 87 · wide open · 59 named · leader Forest Family Dentistry at 3 of 18
    21.0% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions · 11.1% of answers named nobody
  • Dental practices in Phoenix, AZ Openness 85 · wide open · 55 named · leader Bright Now! Dental in North Central Phoenix at 3 of 18
    12.7% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions · 11.1% of answers named nobody
  • Dental practices in Denver, CO Openness 81 · wide open · 43 named · leader OG Dental at 4 of 18
    15.4% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 3 of 6 questions · 22.2% of answers named nobody
  • Dental practices in Las Vegas, NV Openness 80 · wide open · 60 named · leader Summerlin Dental Solutions at 4 of 18
    15.5% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 4 of 6 questions · 11.1% of answers named nobody
  • Med spas in Tampa, FL Openness 75 · contested · 49 named · leader ÉLAN Aesthetics at 6 of 18
    7.8% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • Law firms in Austin, TX Openness 74 · contested · 50 named · leader McMinn Law Firm at 5 of 18
    33.1% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 1 of 6 questions · 16.7% of answers named nobody
  • Law firms in Tampa, FL Openness 74 · contested · 48 named · leader Morgan & Morgan (Tampa office) at 5 of 18
    43.2% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 4 of 5 questions · 16.7% of answers named nobody
  • HVAC companies in Phoenix, AZ Openness 72 · contested · 54 named · leader Ideal Air Conditioning and Insulation at 7 of 18
    16.6% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • HVAC companies in Denver, CO Openness 70 · contested · 49 named · leader Brothers Plumbing, Heating & Electric at 8 of 18
    23.4% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 4 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • Plumbing companies in Austin, TX Openness 69 · contested · 52 named · leader Reliant Plumbing at 7 of 18
    24.4% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 4 of 6 questions
  • Law firms in Denver, CO Openness 67 · contested · 43 named · leader Bachus & Schanker, LLC at 7 of 18
    40.1% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 3 of 6 questions · 11.1% of answers named nobody
  • Roofing companies in Austin, TX Openness 67 · contested · 47 named · leader Driftwood Builders Roofing at 8 of 18
    21.1% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions
  • HVAC companies in Tampa, FL Openness 65 · contested · 50 named · leader Air Masters of Tampa Bay at 10 of 18
    26.9% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions
  • HVAC companies in Austin, TX Openness 64 · consolidating · 40 named · leader The Coolest LLC at 8 of 18
    20.0% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • Law firms in Phoenix, AZ Openness 64 · consolidating · 40 named · leader Kelly Law Team Phoenix at 8 of 18
    36.9% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 2 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • Law firms in Las Vegas, NV Openness 63 · consolidating · 45 named · leader Naqvi Accident Injury Law at 8 of 18
    30.1% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 0 of 6 questions · 11.1% of answers named nobody
  • Med spas in Denver, CO Openness 63 · consolidating · 41 named · leader Rejuvenate MedSpa at 8 of 18
    8.7% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 2 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • Plumbing companies in Tampa, FL Openness 63 · consolidating · 48 named · leader EVERYDAYPLUMBER.com at 8 of 18
    24.3% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 2 of 6 questions
  • Roofing companies in Tampa, FL Openness 63 · consolidating · 55 named · leader Steadfast Roofing at 10 of 18
    16.5% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 2 of 6 questions
  • Med spas in Las Vegas, NV Openness 62 · consolidating · 36 named · leader The Look Med Spa at 10 of 18
    15.1% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 3 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • Med spas in Phoenix, AZ Openness 62 · consolidating · 40 named · leader Suddenly Slimmer Med Spa at 11 of 18
    12.8% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 4 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • HVAC companies in Las Vegas, NV Openness 61 · consolidating · 45 named · leader Goettl Air Conditioning and Plumbing at 9 of 18
    20.3% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions
  • Roofing companies in Phoenix, AZ Openness 61 · consolidating · 43 named · leader Phoenix Roofing & Repair at 10 of 18
    26.9% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions
  • Roofing companies in Denver, CO Openness 60 · consolidating · 56 named · leader Elite Roofing & Solar at 12 of 18
    9.6% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 5 of 6 questions
  • Plumbing companies in Las Vegas, NV Openness 59 · consolidating · 42 named · leader Pure Plumbing & Air at 12 of 18
    21.2% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 1 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • Roofing companies in Las Vegas, NV Openness 59 · consolidating · 37 named · leader Disalvo Roofing LLC at 8 of 18
    25.8% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 4 of 6 questions · 5.6% of answers named nobody
  • Plumbing companies in Denver, CO Openness 58 · consolidating · 42 named · leader Blue Sky Plumbing, Heating, Cooling & Electric at 11 of 18
    19.3% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 3 of 6 questions
  • Med spas in Austin, TX Openness 54 · consolidating · 36 named · leader Viva Day Spa + Med Spa at 11 of 18
    9.7% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 2 of 6 questions · 11.1% of answers named nobody
  • Plumbing companies in Phoenix, AZ Openness 52 · consolidating · 37 named · leader Parker & Sons at 10 of 18
    21.1% of citations from directories · assistants shared no business on 2 of 6 questions
By city

Every trade we measured, city by city.

Las Vegas, NV

Tampa, FL

Denver, CO

Phoenix, AZ

Austin, TX

Before you quote it

What this is not.

It is a dated snapshot, not a ranking. These models re-read the web constantly and do not answer identically twice, so the lists will move. Eighteen answers per market is enough to see who the assistants reach for repeatedly; it is not enough to separate two businesses one position apart, and we do not try.

Being named is not an endorsement. The assistants named the companies whose evidence was easiest to find and safest to repeat, which correlates with being well documented rather than with doing the best work. None of the businesses in this study are our clients and nobody paid to appear. The findings are fully documented and published under CC BY 4.0, so please reuse them with attribution — including to disagree.

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